Calculator
Trade-up calculator
Fill the contract and see every possible result with its odds, float and price, and whether it pays.
10 skins of one grade → 1 skin one grade higher, from the collections of the inputs.
Enter what you actually pay in USD; a blank cost uses the lowest Skinport listing in that exterior, at any float. The result is a model, not a guaranteed profit.
Assumptions and data
- Prices: Skinport, USD, cash (not Steam Wallet). Inputs: lowest current listing per exterior, any float (–). Outcomes: 30-day sales median with 3+ sales (with the number of sales); else the lowest listing (listing) or Skinport's estimate (est.).
- est. = no listing right now: Skinport's estimate. A missing price is never counted as zero.
- Fee: the selling fee you pick comes off every outcome; buying is assumed fee-free (Skinport and CSFloat charge sellers). Typical rates: Skinport 8% (6% above €1,000), CSFloat 2% plus a withdrawal fee.
- Rules (game data and Valve notes, checked 2026-10-27): odds and the normalised float formula are measured by the community since the 22 Oct 2025 update; Valve hasn't published them. Souvenir inputs may join normal ones since 21 May 2026 (the result is a normal item); this calculator prices normal inputs. Armory Limited Edition items are left out: their trade-up pool is unconfirmed.
- Doing it: items received in a trade (also bought on Skinport or CSFloat) are Trade Protected for 7 days and can't be used in a contract; items listed on the Steam Market can't be used either. Prices can move in that week.
- Not known: whether 10 copies at your floats can be bought at these prices, or whether the result sells at its median. Check the listings before buying.
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Trade-up ideas to verify
Model estimates for single-skin contracts, after a 8% selling fee (Skinport), priced on 2026-10-28. Open one to enter what you actually pay, your floats and your fee. Prices can change between this list and the calculator.
- 10 inputs · FNModel return after a 8% fee+52%
G3SG1 | Ventilator
Every input ≤ 0.0314
One outcome · 20%
Shown outcome: Glock-18 | Weasel, 30-day median of 18 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest FN listing, any float
- $6.00
- Model average result after fee
- $9.13
- 10 inputs · FNModel return after a 8% fee+52%
XM1014 | Slipstream
Every input ≤ 0.0349
One outcome · 20%
Shown outcome: Glock-18 | Weasel, 30-day median of 18 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest FN listing, any float
- $6.00
- Model average result after fee
- $9.13
- 10 inputs · FNModel return after a 8% fee+48%
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Every input ≤ 0.0349
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement, 30-day median of 21 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest FN listing, any float
- $8.20
- Model average result after fee
- $12.14
- 10 inputs · MWModel return after a 8% fee+42%
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
Every input ≤ 0.0957
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: Tec-9 | Whiteout, 30-day median of 135 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest MW listing, any float
- $6.00
- Model average result after fee
- $8.55
- 10 inputs · FTModel return after a 8% fee+40%
P2000 | Grip Tape
Every input ≤ 0.3799
One outcome · 50%
Shown outcome: AK-47 | Breakthrough, 30-day median of 100 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest FT listing, any float
- $1.10
- Model average result after fee
- $1.54
- 10 inputs · MWModel return after a 8% fee+38%
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
Every input ≤ 0.0999
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: Desert Eagle | Mulberry, 30-day median of 312 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest MW listing, any float
- $2.90
- Model average result after fee
- $4.00
- 10 inputs · FNModel return after a 8% fee+38%
M4A4 | Mainframe
Every input ≤ 0.0421
One outcome · 25%
Shown outcome: AWP | Acheron, 30-day median of 29 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest FN listing, any float
- $2.10
- Model average result after fee
- $2.89
- 10 inputs · FTModel return after a 8% fee+37%
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
Every input ≤ 0.3582
One outcome · 50%
Shown outcome: AWP | Exothermic, 30-day median of 229 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest FT listing, any float
- $1.40
- Model average result after fee
- $1.92
- 10 inputs · MWModel return after a 8% fee+36%
M249 | Bock Blocks
Every input ≤ 0.1499
One outcome · 20%
Shown outcome: M4A1-S | Electrum, 30-day median of 264 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest MW listing, any float
- $1.20
- Model average result after fee
- $1.64
- 10 inputs · MWModel return after a 8% fee+36%
Five-SeveN | Heat Treated
Every input ≤ 0.0999
One outcome · 50%
Shown outcome: Glock-18 | AXIA, 30-day median of 39 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest MW listing, any float
- $24.50
- Model average result after fee
- $33.23
- 10 inputs · MWModel return after a 8% fee+33%
MP9 | Shredded
Every input ≤ 0.1199
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: Desert Eagle | Mulberry, 30-day median of 312 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest MW listing, any float
- $3.00
- Model average result after fee
- $4.00
- 10 inputs · MWModel return after a 8% fee+28%
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
Every input ≤ 0.1199
One outcome · 50%
Shown outcome: AK-47 | Midnight Laminate, 30-day median of 355 sales
- Input cost: 10 × lowest MW listing, any float
- $3.50
- Model average result after fee
- $4.49
Inputs: the lowest current Skinport listing in that exterior at any float (inputs priced by an estimate don't qualify), and 10+ sales in 30 days. Outcomes: 30-day sales medians with 3+ sales (10+ for an outcome with a quarter of the odds or more), minus the 8% fee. Cash prices in USD, not Steam Wallet. Each idea is judged at the highest input float that still pays, and the result sits at the worst float of its exterior, which often sells below the median. We don't know whether 10 copies at that float can be bought at this price: low-float copies usually cost more. Bought items are Trade Protected for 7 days before they can go into a contract.
FAQ
How is the output float calculated?
Each input's float is turned into a position within that skin's own range, (float − min) / (max − min). The ten positions are averaged, and the outcome gets that same position within its range: min + average × (max − min).
How are the odds of each outcome decided?
Each input carries an equal share of the odds, spread over the next-grade skins of its collection. Seven inputs from one collection give that collection 70% of the outcomes.
Can you trade up Covert skins into a knife?
Yes, since October 2025: five Covert skins give a knife or gloves from the case of one of the inputs. Five StatTrak™ Coverts give a StatTrak™ knife (no gloves).
The float formula follows community testing; Valve hasn't published it. Normal outcomes use 30-day sales medians; StatTrak uses snapshot reference prices. These are estimates, not executable purchase or sale offers.
