Calculator
Trade-up calculator
Fill the contract and see every possible result with its odds, float and price, and whether it pays.
10 skins of one grade → 1 skin one grade higher, from the collections of the inputs.
Inputs: Skinport reference prices. Outcomes: 30-day sales medians with at least 3 sales, else the reference price (marked ref). The shortlist uses medians only, before fees. A reference price does not guarantee stock at your chosen float. Enter actual costs in USD; leave blank to use the reference. Estimates are not guaranteed profits.
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Trade-up ideas to verify
Reference-price estimates for single-skin contracts. Open one to enter actual purchase costs, floats and your selling fee. Prices can change between this list and the calculator.
- 10 inputs · FNModel return, before fees+186%
M4A1-S | Solitude
Every input ≤ 0.0489
One outcome · 100%
Shown outcome: AK-47 | Aphrodite
- Input cost
- $101.70
- Est. average output
- $290.52
- 10 inputs · MWModel return, before fees+80%
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
Every input ≤ 0.1499
One outcome · 50%
Shown outcome: AWP | Exothermic
- Input cost
- $2.60
- Est. average output
- $4.68
- 10 inputs · FNModel return, before fees+64%
CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber
Every input ≤ 0.0394
One outcome · 25%
Shown outcome: Glock-18 | Green Line
- Input cost
- $2.10
- Est. average output
- $3.44
- 10 inputs · MWModel return, before fees+62%
M4A4 | Zubastick
Every input ≤ 0.1499
One outcome · 20%
Shown outcome: M4A1-S | Electrum
- Input cost
- $1.10
- Est. average output
- $1.78
- 10 inputs · FTModel return, before fees+59%
XM1014 | Black Tie
Every input ≤ 0.3374
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: UMP-45 | Primal Saber
- Input cost
- $6.20
- Est. average output
- $9.84
- 10 inputs · MWModel return, before fees+57%
MAC-10 | Palm
Every input ≤ 0.1117
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: PP-Bizon | Brass
- Input cost
- $1.20
- Est. average output
- $1.89
- 10 inputs · FNModel return, before fees+57%
MP7 | Motherboard
Every input ≤ 0.0421
One outcome · 25%
Shown outcome: AWP | Acheron
- Input cost
- $2.00
- Est. average output
- $3.14
- 10 inputs · FNModel return, before fees+56%
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
Every input ≤ 0.0419
One outcome · 100%
Shown outcome: AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge
- Input cost
- $35.80
- Est. average output
- $56.00
- 10 inputs · FNModel return, before fees+56%
P90 | Chopper
Every input ≤ 0.0419
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: M4A4 | Desolate Space
- Input cost
- $23.40
- Est. average output
- $36.50
- 10 inputs · FNModel return, before fees+55%
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
Every input ≤ 0.0349
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement
- Input cost
- $8.50
- Est. average output
- $13.20
- 10 inputs · MWModel return, before fees+55%
UMP-45 | Late Night Transit
Every input ≤ 0.0957
One outcome · 33.3%
Shown outcome: Tec-9 | Whiteout
- Input cost
- $6.00
- Est. average output
- $9.29
- 10 inputs · MWModel return, before fees+53%
P2000 | Royal Baroque
Every input ≤ 0.1199
One outcome · 50%
Shown outcome: AK-47 | Midnight Laminate
- Input cost
- $3.20
- Est. average output
- $4.89
Inputs use Skinport reference prices, which may include suggested values when no listing is available; only skins with 10+ sales in 30 days qualify. Outcomes use 30-day sales medians. Before fees. Sales volume does not guarantee enough listings at the required float or price. Each idea is judged at the highest input float that still pays; low-float copies usually cost more than the cheapest listing in this exterior.
FAQ
How is the output float calculated?
Each input's float is turned into a position within that skin's own range, (float − min) / (max − min). The ten positions are averaged, and the outcome gets that same position within its range: min + average × (max − min).
How are the odds of each outcome decided?
Each input carries an equal share of the odds, spread over the next-grade skins of its collection. Seven inputs from one collection give that collection 70% of the outcomes.
Can you trade up Covert skins into a knife?
Yes, since October 2025: five Covert skins give a knife or gloves from the case of one of the inputs. Five StatTrak™ Coverts give a StatTrak™ knife (no gloves).
The float formula follows community testing; Valve hasn't published it. Normal outcomes use 30-day sales medians; StatTrak uses snapshot reference prices. These are estimates, not executable purchase or sale offers.
